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Recent News

Huckabee, O’Malley Quit 2016 Race

After failing to gain traction in the first-in-the nation Iowa caucuses, two candidates dropped out of the presidential race Monday night – former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee on the GOP side and former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley on the Democratic side.

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Recent News

Decision Desk, Iowa: Three-Man Race?

Tonight’s Iowa caucuses will finally start to winnow the ginormous Republican field down to size. More importantly, it will also be the first test of three different narratives. Will Trump’s voters turn out? Can Cruz, who has staked his hopes on riding a united movement conservatism to victory, win in the early state where a united movement is strongest? Can Rubio emerge as the most conservative “establishment” candidate in modern history?
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Recent News

The Iowa Caucus Expectations Game: What Do the Republican Candidates Need?

The Iowa Caucuses award 27 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the Republican presidential nomination, they are awarded proportionally, and nobody is likely to get much more than a third of the vote, so the numerical importance of winning Iowa is almost nil. What matters is the psychology of the results, how they shape the race going forward, and what they tell us about the candidates’ campaigns. What does each candidate need tonight?
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Campaign Watch

Things to Look for in Iowa Caucus Results

For decades the maxim regarding the presidential nominating process has been that there are three tickets out of Iowa, meaning the top three candidates have done well enough to be considered viable contenders for the later contests. It’s a bit more complicated than that, of course – Arizona Sen. John McCain finished fourth in 2008 after not campaigning in the caucuses but still won the nomination – but it is true that candidates need to at least meet if not ... Read More >>

Recent News

Iowa caucuses: 5 things to watch

It’s time to find out whether a movement can topple months of organizing and deep party ties.

As Iowa voters caucus Monday night, both Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders will try to draw enough new voters into the process to defeat foes who have spent more money, devoted more time to organizing their support in the Hawkeye State and are backed by better-funded outside organizations.

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Recent News

GOP candidates start limping in the money race

Jeb Bush’s fundraising juggernaut has run out of steam, Ben Carson’s money machine has cranked down, and Chris Christie and Rand Paul have just a little more than $1 million in each of their campaign bank accounts.

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Recent News

Trump Overtakes Cruz in Final Iowa Poll Before Caucuses

Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz in the final days before Iowa’s caucuses, with the fate of the race closely tied to the size of Monday evening’s turnout, especially among evangelical voters and those attending for the first time, a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows.

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